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Model Complexity: Overview of Bias-Variance Trade-off

btd
2 min readNov 10, 2023

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When deciding which predictive model to use, understanding and managing bias and variance are crucial. Here’s a list of key considerations for bias and variance in predictive modeling:

I. Bias

1. Underfitting (High Bias):

  • Models with high bias may oversimplify the underlying patterns in the data and perform poorly on both training and test sets.

2. Model Complexity:

  • Bias tends to increase as model complexity decreases.
  • Choosing a model with sufficient complexity to capture the underlying patterns is essential.

3. Feature Selection:

  • Inadequate feature selection may lead to biased models.
  • It’s crucial to include relevant features while avoiding overfitting.

4. Algorithm Choice:

  • Different algorithms have varying levels of bias.
  • Understanding the characteristics of the problem and the data helps choose an algorithm with an appropriate bias-variance trade-off.

II. Variance

1. Overfitting (High Variance):

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